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Space Weather Prediction Testbed 2026
Bulk Electric System Exercise
Agenda
Day 1 (Tuesday, August 25th)
Arrive
08:00 - 08:30 Arrive NOAA David Skaggs Research Center
Day 1: Session 1 - Introductions
08:30 - 08:40 Welcome and Introductions (Clinton Wallace, NOAA SWPC)
08:40 - 08:45 Logistics (Denise Miller, NOAA SWPC)
08:45 - 08:55 Round the Room Introductions (Hazel Bain, NOAA SWPC)
Scene Setting
09:00 - 09:30 NOAA SWPC Forecast Office (Rob Steenburgh, NOAA SWPC)
09:35 - 09:45 FERC (Joe McClelland, FERC)
09:45 - 10:00 NERC (Bill Graham/Mark Olson, NERC)
10:00 - 10:20 Break (20 mins)
Day 1: Session 2 - Product Previews
10:20 - 10:30 Exercise Objectives (Hazel Bain, NOAA SWPC)
10:30 - 10:40 Space Weather Product Ladder Transformation (Bri Muhlestein, NOAA SWPC)
10:40 - 10:50 NOAA/SWPC Geoelectric Field Project (Jordan Guerra, CIRES/SWPC)
11:50 - 11:00 Space Weather Scales Revision (Bill Murtagh, Lynker/SWPC)
11:00 - 11:30 Split Into Working Groups & Introductions
11:30 - 12:00 Familiarization with SWPC Geoelectric Field Products
12:00 - 13:00 Lunch (60 mins)
Day 1: Session 3 - Geoelectric Field Products
13:00 - 13:05 Afternoon Objectives (Hazel Bain, NOAA/SWPC)
13:05 - 13:20 March 1989 Space Weather Summary (David Boteler, NRCan)
Exercise Begins - March 1989 Geomagnetic Storm
13:20 - 14:35 March 1989 Storm - Simulation Start
Working Group Discussions
- Evaluation of Geoelectric Field Products
14:35 - 14:50 GIC Modeling (Tawsif Ahmad, PNNL)
14:50 - 15:15 Break (25 mins)
Day 1: Session 4 - Integration With Industry Tools and Validation Studies
15:15 - 15:30 PowerWorld Modeling (Scott Dahman, PowerWorld)
15:30 - 16:05 March 1989 Storm - Simulation Resumes
Working Group Discussions
- Integration of Space Weather Information Into BES Industry Tools
16:05 - 16:20
Full Group Discussion
- Validation Studies (Jordan Guerra, CIRES/SWPC)
Wrap Up
16:20 - 17:00 Wrap Up
18:00 - 20:00 Social at Pattern Break Brewing
Day 2 (Wednesday, August 19th and 26th)
Day 2: Session 1 - Gannon Storm, Solar Eruption and Early Notification
08:00 - 08:30 Arrive NOAA David Skaggs Research Center
08:30 - 08:35 Day 2 Exercise Objectives (Hazel Bain)
Exercise Begins - - Gannon Geomagnetic Storm, May 2024
08:35 - 08:50 Space Weather Activity Briefing (Rob Steenburgh, NOAA/SWPC)
08:50 - 10:10 Gannon Storm - Simulation Start
Working Group Discussions
- Discussion on Forecaster Analysis Process
- Newly Proposed Space Weather Statement
- CME Arrival Time Ensembles
- Updated Space Weather Statement
10:10 - 10:30 Working Group Report Outs and Discussion
10:30 - 11:00 Break (30 mins)
Day 2: Session 2 - Proposed Revisions to the Geomagnetic Storm Watch
11:00 - 11:40 Gannon Storm - Simulation Resumes
Working Group Discussions
- Newly Proposed Space Weather Watch
- Proposed Partner Email Briefing
11:40 - 12:00 Working Group Report Outs and Discussion
12:00 - 13:00 Lunch/Group Picture (60 mins)
Day 2: Session 3 - Partner Email Briefing and Proposed Revisions to the Geomagnetic Storm Warning and Alert Products
13:00 - 13:30 Working Group Discussions
- Proposed Partner Email Briefing
13:30 - 14:25 Gannon Storm - Simulation Resumes
Working Group Discussions
- Newly Proposed Space Weather Warning
- Alerts vs Updated Warnings
14:25 - 14:45 Working Group Report Outs and Discussion
14:45 - 15:15 Break (30 mins)
Day 2: Session 4 - Storm Termination Product & Communicating Storm Severity
15:15 - 15:55 Gannon Storm - Simulation Resumes
Working Group Discussions
- Storm Termination Products
15:55 - 16:40 Communication of Storm Severity
Wrap Up
16:40 - 17:00 Wrap Up
Day 3 (Thursday, August 20th and 27th)
Day 3: Session 1 - Extreme Event Discussion
08:00 - 08:30 Arrive NOAA David Skaggs Research Center
08:30 - 09:45 Extreme Event Discussion
- DHS Benchmarking Activities (Patrick Dandendault, APL)
- 1-in-100 Year Time Synthetic Time Series for Reliability Assessments (Steve Morley, LANL)
09:45 - 10:00 Break (15 mins)
Day 3: Session 2 - Exercise Debrief & Takeaways
10:00 - 11:00 Debrief Exercise Events / Additional Topics
11:00 - 11:20 Next Steps (Hazel Bain, NOAA/SWPC)
11:20 - 11:35 Summary of Product Improvement Needs (Clinton Wallace, NOAA/SWPC)
11:35 - 11:50 Summary of Scientific Needs (Shawn Britton/Alex Fletcher, NASA)
11:50 - 12:00 Wrap Up (Hazel Bain, NOAA/SWPC)